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How to Trade Credit: High Yield, Treasuries, Spreads, and the Regimes That Actually Matter
This is the third article from mini-series, How To Trade.
Mar 13
•
Jakub
3
How to Trade VIXY - Long, Short, Term Structure, and Macro Regimes
In our earlier post, How We Trade Oil, we showed how stressed markets require the right instrument, not just the right direction.
Mar 12
•
Jakub
14
3
1
How to Trade Oil - CL1!, WTI Reference, Curve Regimes, and Instrument Selection
As conflict in the Middle East continues to reshape the risk backdrop, oil remains one of the cleanest markets through which geopolitical stress gets…
Mar 10
•
Jakub
6
1
The Quantum Mechanics of Prediction Markets
Why a $0.30 contract isn’t “30% likely” - and what particle physics can teach us about betting.
Feb 25
•
Jakub
12
2
Hypothesis Engine: Why Screeners Fail and What Professionals Do Instead
TL,DR: Most retail platforms give you a screener: set a few thresholds, get a list of stocks that pass.
Feb 23
•
Jakub
3
Why 77% Win-Rate Traders Go Broke on Polymarket
TL;DR: On Polymarket, buying a contract at $0.77 means risking $0.77 to win $0.23 - a 3.3:1 ratio against you. One loss wipes out three wins. The…
Feb 10
•
Jakub
16
1
Polymarket - How prediction market microstructure shapes your edge - and why you need async + sync working together.
How prediction market microstructure shapes your edge — and why you need async + sync working together.
Feb 9
•
Jakub
7
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