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behavioral-finance

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An explainable modeling system that analyzes cryptocurrency prices as equilibrium outcomes shaped by market forces. This simulator computes force decompositions, equilibrium bands, tension scores, and scenario-based what-if simulations to reveal how demand, supply, volatility, liquidity, and speculation negotiate price.

  • Updated Dec 11, 2025
  • Python

A deep research study introducing the Gene Drift Hypothesis: a framework explaining how tokenomics mutate across market cycles. Analyzes evolutionary forces, selective pressures, behavioral traits, and economic genes that rise, fall, or mutate through bull/bear phases, shaping token species over time.

  • Updated Nov 29, 2025

A research-grade exploration of the Tokenomics Ecological Framework, analyzing how tokens behave as predator, prey, parasite, and symbiotic species. Examines ecosystem interactions, evolutionary pressures, species population cycles, and the dynamics of economic predation, mutation, drift, and long-term survival across market cycles.

  • Updated Nov 30, 2025

An end-to-end Python implementation of Cao et al.'s (2025) HLPPL methodology for the identification of financial (asset price) bubbles. Implements 7-parameter Log-Periodic Power Law model fitting, confidence-weighted sentiment analysis, regime-dependent 'BubbleScore' fusion, and Transformer-based forecasting with a backtesting framework.

  • Updated Oct 16, 2025
  • Jupyter Notebook

End-to-End Python implementation of Dávila-Fernández & Sordi's (2025) methodology for FX-constrained growth modeling (in emerging markets). Features Bayesian state-space estimation via Gibbs sampling with FFBS algorithm, heterogeneous agent simulation (fundamentalists/chartists), and nonlinear dynamics analysis.

  • Updated Aug 31, 2025
  • Jupyter Notebook

🌱 Explore tokenomics through an ecological lens, analyzing predator-prey dynamics and interactions among token species for better understanding and strategy.

  • Updated Dec 26, 2025

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