Forked Lightning

September 2025

ChatGPT really does offer mundane utility

It’s practically useful, and not currently on track to kill us all

Sep 16, 2025 • David Deming

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How People Use ChatGPT

New NBER working paper just dropped

Sep 15, 2025 • David Deming

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Shorting the AI jobs apocalypse

Turbulent times are windows of opportunity for well-educated and ambitious young people

Sep 2, 2025 • David Deming

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April 2025

AI-human teams and the future of work

The rewards will go to people with both deep expertise and the social awareness to recognize their own limitations

Apr 7, 2025 • David Deming

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October 2024

The Past, Present, and Future of Office Work

From information poverty to information overload, all in less than a century

Oct 24, 2024 • David Deming

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In defense of email jobs

Office work and the economic value of better communication

Oct 15, 2024 • David Deming

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A data-driven case that AI has already changed the U.S. labor market

A painfully cautious economist tries – and fails - to avoid the AI hype

Oct 7, 2024 • David Deming

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September 2024

How computers turned machinists into problem-solvers

Computers execute flawlessly and never tire, but people are the ultimate GPT

Sep 30, 2024 • David Deming

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The Rapid Adoption of Generative AI

New evidence from a nationally representative survey

Sep 23, 2024 • David Deming

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Why did rising agricultural productivity destroy farm jobs?

Engel’s law and the future of work

Sep 16, 2024 • David Deming

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What steam power and generative AI have in common

They foreshadow(ed) big changes to come, but further innovation is (was) required to increase reliability and lower costs

Sep 9, 2024 • David Deming

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