The Power Law

The Power Law

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China Is Reverse-Engineering America’s Best AI Models
How AI distillation attacks risk extracting US frontier AI at scale
23 hrs ago • Peter Wildeford and Theo Bearman
The Pentagon's War on Anthropic
The Pentagon has a legitimate principle, and a terrible strategy for enforcing it
Feb 27 • Peter Wildeford
The case for paying whistleblowers to report on export violations
A bipartisan, bicameral bill would apply the SEC’s successful whistleblower incentive model to export enforcement
Jan 29 • Erich Grunewald
Maduro has been captured. What's next?
The operation was flawless. What comes next is anyone's guess.
Jan 3 • Peter Wildeford
My template for a quarterly review + plan
A free Google doc template for the system I actually use
Dec 22, 2025 • Peter Wildeford
Ronny Chieng and I investigate the promises of AI
I was on the Daily Show!
Dec 5, 2025 • Peter Wildeford
Will competition over advanced AI lead to war?
Fear and Fearon
Nov 21, 2025 • Oscar Delaney
Should the US do a Manhattan Project for AGI?
Such a Project is neither inevitable nor a good idea
Nov 20, 2025 • Peter Wildeford and Oscar Delaney
The Power Law
The Power Law
Join top forecaster Peter Wildeford as he forecasts our fast paced future and discusses AI, national security, innovation, emerging technology, and the powers - real and metaphorical - that shape our world.
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