From the course: AI Accountability: Build Responsible and Transparent Systems (2022)

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The causes of classification errors

The causes of classification errors

- [Instructor] There's a saying in the book publishing world that for each equation you include in your book, you're going to lose 50% of your audience. I have to talk about a mathematical topic but I'm going to try to do it in a way that doesn't rely on equations because I'm hoping that you will all stick around. Let me introduce you to Thomas Bayes, a Presbyterian minister as well as philosopher and statistician who lived in England in the 1700s. and Bayes is best known for Bayes' Theorem, a particular formula he created that gives you the probability of an accurate conclusion given the data. What's amazing that this is not normally how statistics works, this is a variation on it but it requires that you know a few things in order to calculate this probability. Number one is you have to know the prevalence or the base rate of the phenomenon. Think about diagnosing the disease. You have to know what percentage of…

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