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The Week That Was (March 2-6, 2026)
A roundup of what I wrote, read, watched, etc. over the past week.
15 hrs ago
•
Neil Paine
12
2
2
Why F1's 2026 Title Odds Look Nothing Like 2025's
The most dramatic rules reset in modern Formula 1 history has upended the sport's recent hierarchy — and compressed years of potential change into one…
Mar 5
•
Neil Paine
16
1
Japan Is the WBC Standard — So Why Is the U.S. Favored?
Odds have the Americans as heavy World Baseball Classic favorites for 2026, but historical dominance suggests "Samurai Japan" (侍ジャパン) is being…
Mar 3
•
Neil Paine
16
2
2
The Celtics Are Thriving Without Jayson Tatum. That’s Why His Return Could Get Complicated.
Boston lost an MVP candidate and stayed a Top-3 Net Rating team anyway — turning what should be a simple upgrade into something more delicate.
Feb 24
•
Neil Paine
13
2
Lou Holtz Was College Football's Original Turnaround Artist
The Hall of Fame coach made a career of jumping from program to program and fixing them fast — a restless approach that now defines the modern sport he…
Mar 6
•
Neil Paine
10
1
1
Who Needs to Make a Move at the NHL Trade Deadline?
Using Elo rating simulations, here's which NHL teams would see their playoff and Stanley Cup odds shift the most with a trade-deadline upgrade.
Mar 4
•
Neil Paine
8
Will the Raiders Ruin Fernando Mendoza?
The NFL keeps sending elite quarterback prospects to the teams least equipped to develop them. Some survive it anyway — and some don't.
Mar 2
•
Neil Paine
17
4
5
Miami of Ohio Is Undefeated, Unprecedented... and Still Uncertain
The RedHawks are just 3 wins away from a perfect regular season — and from potentially creating the weirdest at-large debate of the modern NCAA…
Feb 27
•
Neil Paine
10
1
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🏀2026 NCAA Tournament Forecast 📊
Track each Division I men's basketball team's odds to make (and, later, win) the 2025 NCAA basketball tourney.
13 hrs ago
•
Neil Paine
18
1
3
🏀 2025-26 NBA Elo Forecast and Player Ratings 📈
Track how I'm forecasting every team’s chance to make — and win — the NBA Finals, all season long.
14 hrs ago
•
Neil Paine
37
16
🏒 2025-26 NHL Team Elo Power Rankings & Goals Above Replacement Player Ratings 📉
Power ratings and forecasts for every NHL team and player this season.
14 hrs ago
•
Neil Paine
17
16
🏁 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Driver Rankings 🚗
Tracking the top drivers in the sport, all season long.
Mar 2
•
Neil Paine
3
1
The Strike Zone We (Think We) Want
MLB's official introduction of Automated Ball-Strike (ABS) challenges highlights the tension between the rules of the game in theory and in practice.
Feb 26
•
Neil Paine
18
5
1
My 🔥Burning Questions🔥 for the Stretch Run of the 2025-26 NHL Season
After an extra-long Olympic pause, here’s what matters most in the final push toward the '26 playoffs.
Feb 25
•
Neil Paine
7
1
1
Team USA Finally Got Its Golden Breakthrough Against Canada
Jack Hughes' overtime winner Sunday punctuated a decades-long climb from North American hockey's "little brother" to a full-fledged equal.
Feb 22
•
Neil Paine
24
1
It Took Alysa Liu's Improbable Comeback to Put U.S. Women’s Figure Skating Back on Top
A 24-year Olympic gold drought ended when the once-retired prodigy completed one of the most unlikely arcs in the sport’s modern history.
Feb 20
•
Neil Paine
26
3
The U.S. Women Finally Have Their Olympic Curling Moment
Twenty years after the hype, the Americans are nearing a long-awaited Olympic curling breakthrough.
Feb 19
•
Neil Paine
14
8
2
Dale Earnhardt Owned the NASCAR Spotlight — and Still Does
The Intimidator was iconic. He was also NASCAR’s most consistent, versatile and dominant driver when the lights were brightest.
Feb 18
•
Neil Paine
9
1
The NBA Knows How to End Tanking — But It May Not Want To
Severing the link between draft order and record would curb incentives to tank overnight. But doing so might cost the league something it values more.
Feb 17
•
Neil Paine
15
8
1
Ilia Malinin and the Curse of the American Olympic Coronation
Anointed as America's next Olympic icon, Malinin instead joined the long history of U.S. stars undone by the weight of expectation.
Feb 16
•
Neil Paine
23
1
🏅 Who's Winning The 2026 Olympic Medal Race — And Who's Beating History?
A look at which nations are outperforming (or falling short of) their historical share of Olympic medals in 2026 events completed so far.
Feb 12
•
Neil Paine
16
3
5
🏁 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Driver Rankings 🚗
Tracking the top drivers in the sport, all season long.
Mar 2
•
Neil Paine
3
1
The North Dakota State FBS Experiment is Finally Here
What happens when the FCS' greatest dynasty moves up a level?
Feb 13
•
Neil Paine
14
1
Revisiting the Chris Paul Conundrum
CP3 will retire as an all-time great whose playoff résumé never matched his statistical brilliance — reopening the debate over what his career reveals…
Nov 25, 2025
•
Neil Paine
10
2
3
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